19 Aug 19082019 Monday — Trade Plan & Journal
19082019 Monday — Trade Plan & Journal
Terminology (partially made up by yours truly)
- PA = Price Action
- BO = Break Out
- BD = Break Down
- CAR = Confirm As Resistance
- CAS = Confirm As Support
- UKC = Upper Keltner Channel
- LKC = Lower Keltner Channel
- TV = Tick Volume
- WPP = Weekly Pivot Point
- DPP = Daily Pivot Point
- DR = Daily Resistance (pivot)
- DS = Daily Support (pivot)
- WR = Weekly Resistance (pivot)
- WS = Weekly Support (pivot)
- HL = Higher Low
- HH = Higher High
- LH = Lower High
- LL = Lower Low
- SD = Standard Deviation
- VWAP = Volume Weighted Average Price
- AS = Asian Session
- LS = London Session (EU)
- NY = New York Session (US)
- R/R = Risk to Reward
- M2M = Move to Move
- T2H = Trade to Hold
- DT = DownTrend
- UT = UpTrend
- R = Range
- LTF = Lower Time Frame
- TTF = Trading Time Frame
- HTF = Higher Time Frame
- HHTF = Higher High Time Frame
- Hypo = HYPOthetical
- AD = Accumulation Distribution
Health review
- Weekly goal
- Eat less carbs by only eating rice and noodles for breakfast and not later on in the day.
- How do you feel? Have you recently had a break of daily routine (like a trip)? Did you have 2 (or more) nights of insufficient sleep?
- I feel good. Had a lot of sleep.
- How would you rate it (1–5)? 1/2 = don’t trade 3= quarter position 1st 12 2nd 2, 4= half position = 1st 25 2nd 5, 5= full position = 1st 50 2nd 10
- 5= full position = 1st 50 2nd 10
Market Prep
Intraweek Fundamentals
- API report
- Tomorrow
- EIA report
- Wednesday
Intraday Technical Analysis
- HHTF
- What is the market narrative?
- Possible HHTF R in effect but we had support at 50 for the last 3 trading days
- What is the market narrative?
- HTF
- Levels
- Prev. High 55.575
- PVAH 55.077
- PPOC 54.688
- PVAL 54.487
- Prev. Low 54.177
- What is the market narrative and bias?
- TTF R in effect with lots of AD at LKC indicating possible BO from R, we had one run up to BO from R at UKC however that failed and we returned back into R
- 50 and 200 are almost flat however slightly sloping up
- Levels
- TTF
- Does the Asian session show clues that align with market narrative?
- AS has been trading up with medium PA crossed over 200 plus bounce off 200 possibly setting up for a BO or F into HTF UKCCAR
- Does the Asian session show clues that align with market narrative?
Trade Idea
- Hypo 1 Short
- HTF UKC BO F
- Entry around 55.40
- Targets 55.20, 55.05, 54.75, 54.50
- Hypo 2 Short
- HTF UKCCAR
- Entry around 55.40
- Targets 55.20, 55.05, 54.75, 54.50
- Hypo 3 Long
- HTF UKC BO
- Entry around 55.550
- Targets 55.80, 56.20
- Hypo 4 Rotational
- 55.20 — 55.45
My goals for the day (Daily Report Card)
- Define winning
- Only A/A+trade ideas based on good narrative on 1st account (4 points)
- Don’t worry about P&L, let the trade work out based on market narrative and have correct sizing(4 points)
- Forward test setups on 2nd account that are aligned with trade idea (2 points)
Reading the Tape
- What is printing?
- 16:05
- HTF
- What is the market narrative?
- HTF UKC BO F
- What is the market narrative?
- TTF
- TTF R Overbought back into KC with possible UKCCAR
- Bias
- Short
- Opportunity (if any)
- What setup am I going to stalk?
- HTF UKC BO F
- What setup am I going to stalk?
- HTF
- 19:05
- HTF
- What is the market narrative?
- HTF R above 50
- What is the market narrative?
- TTF
- TTF R R line BO+PB to 200MA possible CAS or BD
- Bias
- Unclear
- Opportunity (if any)
- What setup am I going to stalk?
- HTF
- 19:35
- HTF
- What is the market narrative?
- HTF R around 50M
- What is the market narrative?
- TTF
- TTF R Oversold
- Bias
- Unclear
- Opportunity (if any)
- What setup am I going to stalk?
- Unclear ATM
- What setup am I going to stalk?
- HTF
- 16:05
Daily Report Card
Trade Idea
- Hypo 1 Short
- HTF UKC BO F
- Entry around 55.40
- Targets 55.20, 55.05, 54.75, 54.50
- Hypo 2 Short
- HTF UKCCAR
- Entry around 55.40
- Targets 55.20, 55.05, 54.75, 54.50
- Hypo 3 Long
- HTF UKC BO
- Entry around 55.550
- Targets 55.80, 56.20
- Hypo 4 Rotational
- 55.20 — 55.45
Daily Report Card | ||
Date: | 8/19/2019 | |
Weekly Goal | Execute A+ / A setups | |
Combined Score | 96 | |
Process Report Card (10 each) | ||
8 | Session PECS | |
10 | Hypos | |
10 | Market Prep | |
10 | Daily review | |
8 | Progress tow. weekly goal | |
46 | Total | |
Performance Report Card (10 each) | ||
100% | 10 | Real-time analysis |
1/1 | 10 | Setups Identified (inc. TEST) |
1/1 | 10 | Setups taken |
0/1 | 10 | Erroneous Entries |
0/1 | 10 | Erroneous Exits |
50 | total | |
- Weekly Goal
- Only A/A+trade ideas based on good narrative on 1st account (4 points)
- Did well here
- Don’t worry about P&L, let the trade work out based on market narrative and have correct sizing(4 points)
- Did correct sizing however could have let the first trade run longer. The drop that I was waiting for never came but the small PA continued trending down
- Forward test setups on 2nd account that are aligned with trade idea (2 points)
- Did well here
- Only A/A+trade ideas based on good narrative on 1st account (4 points)
- Review
P/L ticks | Trade Idea | Pos. | Entry Errors | Exit Errors | Type Trade | Size | Reason to cover | |
2.6 | 1 | 1 | - | - | HTF UKC BO F | 10 | TP | Slow PA with no drop from tech level indicating possible reversal on short term |
2.4 | 2 | 2 | - | - | HTF R 50MA BD | 10 | TP | Realized the move was over based on a pattern that I remembered and cut the position off |
- How accurate was my assessment of market context?
- Hypo 1 — 100%
- Did well here
- Real-time analysis — 100%
- Did well here as well
- Hypo 1 — 100%
- How well did I manage my physical, emotional and cognitive states?
- P: Just flew in earlier and I guess the trip made me more tired than I thought
- E: Did well here
- CS: Started getting really tired midway through the session and as I write now my eyes are heavy. I felt great earlier and graded myself to trade fully. Next time I’ll take note of the fact that I have traveled and adjust accordingly.
- What’s one thing you learned today?
- I don’t always have to be in a trade. Only work the higher probability opportunities and if a move happens without me? Learn from it so I can catch it next time. I did well on that last part.
- Positive(s)
- Stayed out of trouble by focusing on high probability areas
- Followed the market narrative
- Did not let my low energy level be the excuse to make mistakes
- Negative(s)
- Low energy
Feedback?
Any questions or feedback you might have please feel free to leave a comment or contact me directly.
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