10 Jul 10072019 Wednesday — Trade Plan & Journal
10072019 Wednesday — Trade Plan & Journal
Terminology (partially made up by yours truly)
- PA = Price Action
- BO = Break Out
- BD = Break Down
- CAR = Confirm As Resistance
- CAS = Confirm As Support
- UKC = Upper Keltner Channel
- LKC = Lower Keltner Channel
- TV = Tick Volume
- WPP = Weekly Pivot Point
- DPP = Daily Pivot Point
- DR = Daily Resistance (pivot)
- DS = Daily Support (pivot)
- WR = Weekly Resistance (pivot)
- WS = Weekly Support (pivot)
- HL = Higher Low
- HH = Higher High
- LH = Lower High
- LL = Lower Low
- SD = Standard Deviation
- VWAP = Volume Weighted Average Price
- AS = Asian Session
- LS = London Session (EU)
- NY = New York Session (US)
- R/R = Risk to Reward
- M2M = Move to Move
- T2H = Trade to Hold
- DT = DownTrend
- UT = UpTrend
- LTF = Lower Time Frame
- TTF = Trading Time Frame
- HTF = Higher Time Frame
- Hypo = HYPOthetical
Health review
5 positive 1 negative | Mon | Tue | Wed |
- | 8/7 | 9/7 | 10/7 |
Time bed yesterday | 0:36 | 0:48 | 0:12 |
woke up | 8:18 | 9:11 | 8:14 |
Hours sleep | 7:42 | 8:23 | 8:02 |
According to Fitbit | 6:38 | 7:08 | 6:58 |
Awake | 1:04 | 1:15 | 1:04 |
Times awake | 39x | 31x | 28x |
REM | 0:36 | 0:47 | 1:03 |
Light | 4:49 | 4:51 | 4:53 |
Deep | 1:13 | 1:30 | 1:02 |
Sleep well? | 4 | 4 | 4 |
Sleep Aid? | no | no | no |
Alcohol yesterday? | 0 | 3 beers | 2 beers |
Wore Fitbit? | yes | yes | yes |
Performed Daily Tasks? | yes | yes | yes |
Performed Health Tasks? | no | no | no |
Exercise yesterday? | no | no | no |
Coffees yesterday | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Intermittent fasting | no | no | yes |
Water L | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Vitamins | no | no | no |
Cigarettes | 3 | 3 | 1 |
- Weekly goal
- Follow health plan
- Failed again. I am conscious of it though. I always start like this where I plan for it, then get conscious of it. Then take action. Then quit. This last one is where I should make a change.
- Follow health plan
- How do you feel? Have you recently had a break of daily routine (like a trip)? Did you have 2 (or more) nights of insufficient sleep?
- I feel good. Better than the last few days.
- How would you rate it (1–5)? 1/2 = don’t trade 3= quarter position 4= half position 5= full position
- 5
Market Prep
Intraday Fundamentals
- API report
- Latest Release Jul 09, 2019
- Actual ‑8.129M
- Previous ‑5.000M
- EIA report
- Today
- Forecast ‑3.081M
Intraday Technical Analysis
- HTF
- Define context
- Where were the overnight highs and lows and PVA?
- High 58.727
- PVAH 57.963
- PPOC 57.500
- PVAL 57.418
- Low 57.373
- Where is the LIS?
- PVAH area
- What didn’t happen?
- We didn’t stay under 58 level and are looking to test 59.50 area
- Dialling in on opportunities
- Is there a shift in value/excess migration? What is the current market condition? Are we trending, balancing/range bound? Where are we in the trend range axis?
- Above HTF UKC
- Is there a shift in value/excess migration? What is the current market condition? Are we trending, balancing/range bound? Where are we in the trend range axis?
- Where were the overnight highs and lows and PVA?
- Define context
- TTF
- What trade locations among this structure would l like to get involved in that will offer me the best R/R opportunities?
- HTF U TC @ UKC
- HTFUKCBD
- What has the Asian Session printed?
- Fade move down after we had a HTFUKCBO during the last hour of the overnight session following the HTF 1.0 SD but looking as if losing momentum
- What trade locations among this structure would l like to get involved in that will offer me the best R/R opportunities?
Trade Idea
- Hypo 1 Long
- HTF U TC @ UKC
- Entry around 58.65
- Targets 58.95, 59.35
- Hypo 2 Short
- HTFUKCBD
- Entry around 58.60
- Targets 58.35
- Hypo 3 Rotational 58.40 — 58.85
My goals for the day (Daily Report Card)
- Define winning
- Only focus on A/A+ setups and work on consistency in taking them. To have a better sample size I will need to go through a few cycles before I can think of the next level. Do this for the next month at least. It would be 3 months by then and I can analyze my trading and reassess if need be.
Trades
P/L ticks | Trade | Entry Errors | Exit Errors | Type Trade | Sizing | Reason to cover | Problem | Proposed solution | |
-16.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | TTF U TC @ UKC (hyperbolic) | 1 | SO | broke 1.0SD | Moved stop | It’s OK to have several tries at 1 trade idea. Take your stop and then re-enter if need be. |
-13.5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | TTF U TC @ UKC | 2 | SO | broke 1.0SD | FOMO | Entered the trade out of FOMO. Should have waited for a move back to TTF UKC before looking to enter |
14.4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | TTF U TC @ UKC | 1/2 | Hit Target | near HHTF UKC | - | - |
19 | 0 | 0 | TTF U TC @ UKC | 1/2 | Hit Target | near HHTF UKC | - | - | |
3.1 | 0 | 0 | TTF U TC @ UKC | 2 | TP | took some risk off and gained profit thinking it would drop again so I could add if it still looked bullish | - | - |
Daily Report Card
Trade Idea
- Hypo 1 Long
- HTF U TC @ UKC
- Entry around 58.65
- Targets 58.95, 59.35
- Hypo 2 Short
- HTFUKCBD
- Entry around 58.60
- Targets 58.35
- Hypo 3 Rotational 58.40 — 58.85
Date: | 7/10/2019 | Weekly Goal | Execute A+ (TTF TC) / A setups (TTF NT) | |||
Combined Score | 100 | |||||
Process Report Card (10 each) | Performance Report Card (10 each) | |||||
10 | Session PECS | 100% | 10 | Real-time analysis | ||
10 | Hypos | 1/1 | 10 | Setups Identified (inc. TEST) | ||
10 | Market Prep | 1/1 | 10 | Setups taken | ||
10 | Daily review | 0/1 | 10 | Erroneous Entries | ||
10 | Progress tow. weekly goal | 0/1 | 10 | Erroneous Exits | ||
50 | Total | 50 | ||||
- Weekly Goal
- Only focus on A/A+ setups and work on consistency in taking them. To have a better sample size I will need to go through a few cycles before I can think of the next level. Do this for the next month at least. It would be 3 months by then and I can analyze my trading and reassess if need be.
- I did well here. Although my A/A+ setups don’t arise under these market conditions, it has been good trading on my 2nd account with experimental trades.
- Only focus on A/A+ setups and work on consistency in taking them. To have a better sample size I will need to go through a few cycles before I can think of the next level. Do this for the next month at least. It would be 3 months by then and I can analyze my trading and reassess if need be.
- How accurate was my assessment of market context?
- Hypo 1 — 100%
- Did well here
- Real-time analysis — 100%
- Took experimental trades around 1 trade idea. Did well to see the narrative and traded around it.
- Hypo 1 — 100%
- How well did I manage my physical, emotional and cognitive states?
- P: Did well here. Slept enough last night and my energy level was good throughout the session.
- E: Did well here.
- CS: Did well here as well.
- What’s one thing you learned today?
- Confirming that I’m a pattern based trader above all. My technical levels give me my orientation around that pattern.
- Positive(s)
- Did well to start off with smaller sizing to ‘test the waters’ and then to size up (but without exceeding my sizing rules)
- Had good clarity after I saw the pattern. Again this happened after the opening range which I worked into my trading plan.
Feedback?
Any questions or feedback you might have please feel free to leave a comment or contact me directly.
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